In anticipation of this weekend's game, HawgBeat compared the projected starting lineups for Arkansas and Mississippi State using the players' star ratings as recruits and their Pro Football Focus grades from this season.
We also did a side-by-side statistical comparison of the two teams using their numbers so far in 2021.
Stat Comparison - Mississippi State | Arkansas (FBS rank, out of 130 teams)
Offense
Scoring: 28.0 (75th) | 32.8 (t-36th)
Total yards: 425.5 (46th) | 465.3 (18th)
Passing: 371.1 (t-4th) | 216.3 (84th)
Rushing: 54.4 (130th) | 249.0 (4th)
Third downs: 48.2% (13th) | 38.5% (79th)
Sacks allowed/game: 2.75 (t-100th) | 1.63 (t-38th)
Turnovers: 12 (t-72nd) | 7 (t-15th)
Defense
Scoring: 24.6 (t-61st) | 23.5 (53rd)
Total yards: 313.3 (17th) | 334.4 (33rd)
Passing: 223.6 (63rd) | 167.5 (8th)
Rushing: 89.6 (t-4th) | 166.9 (85th)
Third downs: 37.0% (45th) | 28.2% (5th)
Sacks/game: 2.00 (t-74th) | 1.63 (t-104th)
Turnovers forced: 13 (t-34th) | 8 (t-107th)
Star Comparison (using Rivals ratings)
*Marks, Williams and Walley are not listed as starters, but they have been starting and playing the most snaps at their positions for Mississippi State.
**Johnson started the first seven games of the season, but missed the last game with an injury. He's still listed as the starter, but it's unclear if he'll return for this game.
^Listed with an "or" on the depth chart. Thompson and Johnson started the last game, while Wagner and Utsey are expected to return from injuries.
^^Zach Williams is listed as a starter, but the Razorbacks will likely use a three-man front with an extra safety on the field instead.
Breakdown
Arkansas: 7
Mississippi State: 12
Tied: 3
Pro Football Focus Comparison (using season grades)
Team Grades (Mississippi State | Arkansas)
Overall: 80.9 | 86.4
Offense: 74.7 | 82.6
Passing: 84.7 | 73.9
Rushing: 73.2 | 88.7
Receiving: 67.4 | 65.4
Pass blocking: 77.6 | 67.0
Run blocking: 69.2 | 79.6
Defense: 77.5 | 73.9
Run defense: 70.2 | 70.4
Tackling: 60.3 | 63.6
Pass rush: 68.6 | 81.3
Coverage: 79.3 | 66.4
Special teams: 71.3 | 76.6