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Published Nov 7, 2019
Update: ESPN FPI projects Arkansas' remaining 3 games
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Andrew Hutchinson  •  HawgBeat
Managing Editor
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A blowout loss to Mississippi State has officially ended Arkansas' hopes of making a bowl game.

After six straight weeks in which their bowl odds hovered around or below 1 percent, according to ESPN's Football Power Index, the Razorbacks must now win at least one of their remaining three games to avoid another 10-loss season.

Their best shot is Saturday against Western Kentucky. Although they are just a 1.5-point favorite in Vegas and actually considered an underdog in Bill Connelly's SP+ ratings, the Razorbacks still have a 62.5 percent chance of winning, per the FPI.

That is down 4 percentage points from last week. The other two games - at LSU (down 0.5) and against Missouri (down 3.6) - also saw the percentages swing further against Arkansas.

With those shifts, there is now a 30.5 percent chance for the Razorbacks to go 2-10 for a second straight season, as seen in the final graph below.

Arkansas' Game-by-Game Projections
GameLikelihoodChange since last week

Nov. 9 - Western Kentucky

62.5%

-4.0%

Nov. 23 - at LSU

1.8%

-0.5%

Nov. 29 - Missouri (LR)

17.2%

-3.6%

Arkansas' Record Projections
RecordLikelihoodChange since last week

5-7

0.19%

-3.90%

4-8

11.60%

-14.68%

3-9

57.71%

+7.37%

2-10

30.49%

+11.28%