Update: ESPN FPI projects Arkansas' remaining 4 games in 2020
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FAYETTEVILLE -- Despite taking down Tennessee last week, Arkansas saw the odds in its next two games dip slightly in ESPN's Football Power Index.
The Razorbacks are heavy underdogs Saturday at No. 6 Florida, with less than a 10 percent chance of winning in Gainesville, Fla., while they have just a 1 in 3 chance of beating LSU next week. Both games dropped by less than 2 percentage points since last week.
Their chances in the final two games of 2020 - at Missouri and against Alabama - actually went up. The matchup with the Tigers is now almost a toss up (47.1% chance), while the Crimson Tide are still extremely heavy favorites.
Sitting at 3-3, Arkansas now has a season-high 23.1 percent chance of finishing the year with a .500 or better record. The most likely record, though, is 4-6, which as a 46.8 percent chance of happening.
Here are the latest game-by-game projections from the FPI, the record projections based on those percentages and a graph illustrating Arkansas' chances of finishing .500 or better.
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NEW USERS | RETURNING USERS
| Game | Likelihood | Change since last week |
|---|---|---|
|
Nov. 14 - at Florida |
9.7% |
-1.9% |
|
Nov. 21 - vs. LSU |
33.5% |
-1.7% |
|
Nov. 28 - at Missouri |
47.1% |
+2.0% |
|
Dec. 5 - vs. Alabama |
5.4% |
+0.5% |
| Record | Likelihood | Change since last week |
|---|---|---|
|
7-3 |
0.083% |
+0.035% |
|
6-4 |
2.47% |
+0.99% |
|
5-5 |
20.55% |
+8.18% |
|
4-6 |
46.84% |
+12.49% |
|
3-7 |
30.05% |
-7.59% |
