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In the latest update to ESPN's Football Power Index, things are starting to trend in Arkansas' favor ever so slightly.
Just a few weeks ago, the Razorbacks were considered underdogs in all 10 games this season, but they are now given a 50.5 percent chance to beat Mississippi State in Week 2.
Even though that game is still a virtual toss-up, it's 3.1 percentage points higher than it was when HawgBeat broke down the game-by-game projections on Aug. 18.
That's the largest jump of any game, but Arkansas' chances against Missouri and LSU have also gone up by 2.9 and 2.8 percentage points, respectively.
It's unclear exactly what changed to cause that movement, but LSU having several key players - most notably wide receiver Ja'Marr Chase - opt out of the season likely had something to do with that game.
Only two games shifted in favor of Arkansas' opponent: Ole Miss' odds went up by 1.8 percentage points and Alabama's increased by 0.5 percentage points.
Here is a breakdown of the latest percentages for each game from the FPI...
As expected, the Razorbacks' increased chances in eight of the 10 games on the 2020 schedule have led to better record projections from the FPI.
Last month, there was a 7.2 percent chance that Arkansas would go winless. That has dropped to 6.1 percent in the latest update.
That means the Razorbacks have a 93.9 percent chance to snap their 19-game SEC losing streak at some point during the season.
The likelihood of each record - 0-10, 10-0 and everything in between - can be found in the chart below...
